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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
: Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb quote-Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence...
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Hannah Arendt :
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No cause is left but the most ancient of all, the one, in fact, that from the beginning of our history has determined the very existence of politics, the cause of freedom versus tyranny.
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Sir Isaac Newton :
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The alternation of motion is ever proportional to the motive force impressed; and is made in the direction of the right line in which that force is impressed.
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Raymond Holliwell :
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The inner thought coming from the heart represents the real motives and desires. These are the cause of action.
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Eduard Shevardnadze :
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"Corruption has its own motivations, and one has to thoroughly study that phenomenon and eliminate the foundations that allow corruption to exist."
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Frances Wright :
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Religion may be defined thus: a belief in, and homage rendered to, existences unseen and causes unknown.
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John Dewey :
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The path of least resistance and least trouble is a mental rut already made. It requires troublesome work to undertake the alternation of old beliefs. Self-conceit often regards it as a sign of weakness to admit that a belief to which we have once committed ourselves is wrong. We get so identified with an idea that it is literally a pet notion and we rise to its defense and stop our eyes and ears to anything different.
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Philip Massinger :
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Cause me no causes.
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Heywood Broun :
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Men are blind in their own cause.
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Rolim Amaro :
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Work towards the cause, not the effect.
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Miguel de Cervantes :
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Take away the cause, and the effect ceases.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Wisdom feed
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: I don’t know....
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.
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# Nations
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.
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# Information
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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At no point during his ordeal did Nero think of himself as 72% alive and 28% dead.
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# Death and Dying
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
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Science evolves from funeral to funeral.
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# Death and Dying
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Be First To
Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
"
Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
"
# Belief
# Fear
# Motivation
Gift it
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![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112056&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=Probability+is+not+about+the+odds%2C+but+about+the+belief+in+the+existence+of+an+alternative+outcome%2C+cause%2C+or+motive.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=32893&author=Hannah Arendt"e=++No+cause+is+left+but+the+most+ancient+of+all%2C+the+one%2C+in+fact%2C+that+from+the+beginning+of+our+history+has+determined+the+very+existence+of+politics%2C+the+cause+of+freedom+versus+tyranny.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F193%2FHannah+Arendt_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=101427&author=Sir Isaac Newton"e=The+alternation+of+motion+is+ever+proportional+to+the+motive+force+impressed%3B+and+is+made+in+the+direction+of+the+right+line+in+which+that+force+is+impressed.%0A&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F3810%2FSir+Isaac_Newton_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=19757&author=Raymond Holliwell"e=++The+inner+thought+coming+from+the+heart+represents+the+real+motives+and+desires.+These+are+the+cause+of+action.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F1828%2FRaymond+Holliwell_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=109040&author=Eduard Shevardnadze"e=%22Corruption+has+its+own+motivations%2C+and+one+has+to+thoroughly+study+that+phenomenon+and+eliminate+the+foundations+that+allow+corruption+to+exist.%22&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15036%2FEduard_Shevardnadze_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=116704&author=Frances Wright"e=Religion+may+be+defined+thus%3A+a+belief+in%2C+and+homage+rendered+to%2C+existences+unseen+and+causes+unknown.%0A&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15369%2FFrances_Wright_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=39519&author=John Dewey"e=++The+path+of+least+resistance+and+least+trouble+is+a+mental+rut+already+made.+It+requires+troublesome+work+to+undertake+the+alternation+of+old+beliefs.+Self-conceit+often+regards+it+as+a+sign+of+weakness+to+admit+that+a+belief+to+which+we+have+once+committed+ourselves+is+wrong.+We+get+so+identified+with+an+idea+that+it+is+literally+a+pet+notion+and+we+rise+to+its+defense+and+stop+our+eyes+and+ears+to+anything+different.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F817%2FJohn_Dewey_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=97593&author=Philip Massinger"e=Cause+me+no+causes.%0A&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F2564%2FPhilip_Massinger_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=32895&author=Heywood Broun"e=++Men+are+blind+in+their+own+cause.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F2246%2FHeywood+Broun_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=67145&author=Rolim Amaro"e=Work+towards+the+cause%2C+not+the+effect.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F13247%2FRolim+Amaro_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=32898&author=Miguel de Cervantes"e=++Take+away+the+cause%2C+and+the+effect+ceases.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F13595%2FMiguel+de_Cervantes_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112047&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=My+major+hobby+is+teasing+people+who+take+themselves+and+the+quality+of+their+knowledge+too+seriously+and+those+who+don%E2%80%99t+have+the+guts+to+sometimes+say%3A+I+don%E2%80%99t+know....%0A&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112048&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=It+does+not+matter+how+frequently+something+succeeds+if+failure+is+too+costly+to+bear.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112049&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=Unlike+a+well-defined%2C+precise+game+like+Russian+roulette%2C+where+the+risks+are+visible+to+anyone+capable+of+multiplying+and+dividing+by+six%2C+one+does+not+observe+the+barrel+of+reality.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112050&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=A+mistake+is+not+something+to+be+determined+after+the+fact%2C+but+in+the+light+of+the+information+until+that+point.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112051&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=I+always+remind+myself+that+what+one+observes+is+at+best+a+combination+of+variance+and+returns%2C+not+just+returns.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112052&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=I+try+to+make+money+infrequently%2C+as+infrequently+as+possible+simply+because+I+believe+that+rare+events+are+not+fairly+valued%2C+and+that+the+rarer+the+event%2C+the+more+undervalued+it+will+be+in+price.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112053&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=The+more+data+we+have%2C+the+more+likely+we+are+to+drown+in+it.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112054&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=At+no+point+during+his+ordeal+did+Nero+think+of+himself+as+72%25+alive+and+28%25+dead.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}
![Powerpoint](http://www.iwise.com/downloadPPT.php?quote_id=112055&author=Nassim Nicholas Taleb"e=Science+evolves+from+funeral+to+funeral.&image=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iwise.com%2FauthorIcons%2F15165%2FNassim+Nicholas_Taleb_64x64.png){kind=link}